What's driving arabica and robusta prices in Bali right now, and how it fits into the bigger Indonesia and global picture.
We get asked a lot, by farmers, partners, and buyers alike, why prices are moving the way they are this season. Since we work in both arabica and robusta, we thought it was worth pulling together a proper market snapshot for each: what's happening on the ground here in Bali, what's happening across Indonesia, and what's driving it globally. Consider this a companion piece to our harvest updates.
Quick Snapshot
Arabica
All-time high
Bali arabica cherry price
Tracking the global arabica spike
$3.20–3.70/lb
ICE Arabica futures
Spiked ~16% in a week, largest weekly gain since 2000
Robusta
All-time high
Bali robusta cherry price
Tracking the global robusta spike
$1.54–1.68/lb
ICE Robusta (London)
Down from last year's peak, still elevated.
Price converted from ICE's original USD/metric ton quotation to USD/lb
Figures compiled from ICE, USDA FAS Coffee Annual, and trade press as of mid-July 2026. Indicative only, not a live quote.
What's Happening in Bali Right Now
Harvest here is in its final stretch across Bali. Arabica cherries across different regions and farmers are coming in steadily, while robusta is running behind on its usual schedule due to a later harvest period for robusta. Wet hulled processing is going at full pace, but supply is visibly shortening as we move toward the end of the season, which we expect to wrap by mid-August.
The bigger story this year is price, for both. Cherry cost has hit an all-time high for us across arabica and robusta alike, and it isn't a Bali-specific quirk, it's moving in lockstep with the broader global markets for each, which are both seeing a serious spike of their own. We're continuing production through to the end of harvest with our current lot lineup.
Two Markets, Two Stories
Arabica and robusta are being pulled up by different things this year, worth knowing if you're buying either from us.
Brazil-driven
Heavy June rains delayed Brazil's harvest, then a dry spell raised concerns over bean quality just as picking needed to ramp up. In Southern Minas Gerais, only around 30% of the harvest was complete by mid-season, well behind the pace of the year before.
Global arabica inventories are thin after a couple of tight years, so any weather scare gets amplified fast. Some buyers who'd normally use robusta for cheaper blends have also shifted into arabica, adding extra demand.
Vietnam-driven
Vietnam's robusta supply has been under pressure, keeping prices elevated even as futures have pulled back roughly 30% from last year's historic peak on the back of a strong recovery in Vietnamese exports.
Indonesia is actually looking at a bigger robusta harvest this cycle, which should ease pressure over time, but farmers here and in Vietnam alike have been holding stock rather than selling into a still uncertain market.
The Indonesia Picture
Indonesia's coffee economy is mostly a robusta story by volume, but arabica carries the specialty premium, and Bali sits in both camps. USDA's 26/27 forecast points to a larger robusta crop this cycle, with total green bean exports forecast near 7 million bags.
A few things are keeping domestic prices firm despite the bigger robusta crop:
El Niño is shaping the dry season. Indonesia's meteorological agency (BMKG) is forecasting a drier, longer dry season through 2026, peaking around August in the key robusta belts of Lampung and South Sumatra, a risk factor for the next cycle even as this year's crop comes in strong.
The rupiah's movement against the dollar continues to shape how competitive Indonesian export pricing looks to international buyers.
What this Means for Us
For HEQA, it means cherry costs are simply higher this season across both arabica and robusta, in line with the broader market rather than anything specific to our farmers or region. We're not changing how we work with our partnered farmers, quality has always been at the center of how we operate, but we are watching both markets closely and planning our lot lineup with the shortening supply window in mind.
Looking Ahead
Global arabica and robusta prices will keep moving over the next few weeks, that's just the nature of the market right now. What doesn't move is our focus: delivering consistent specialty volumes to our partners, regardless of where the market lands. Locally, once our harvest closes out in mid-August, we'll have a clearer picture of total volume, and we're committed to keeping that supply steady for everyone who count on us.
We'll keep sharing updates as the season wraps up, stay tuned.
